Arthur Hayes: This Might Be the “Last Chance” to Buy Bitcoin Under $100K
Arthur Hayes, the outspoken co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom, has fired off a bold warning to crypto investors: the window to buy Bitcoin under $100,000 may be about to slam shut.
His message, delivered via X on April 21, came with a sense of urgency and conviction that’s turning heads in both retail and institutional circles.
“Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC < $100k,” Arthur Hayes wrote—an ominous yet electrifying proclamation that’s ignited fresh speculation around Bitcoin’s next move.
Arthur Hayes Sounds the Alarm as Treasury Buybacks Loom
Arthur Hayes isn’t one to mince words, and when he speaks, markets listen. This time, he’s pointing to an overlooked but potentially explosive catalyst: U.S. Treasury buybacks. In his post, Hayes called these buybacks the “Bazooka” that could supercharge Bitcoin’s trajectory.
Treasury buybacks involve the U.S. government repurchasing its own bonds from the open market, injecting liquidity into the financial system. That extra cash, often chasing returns, tends to flow into risk assets—and Hayes believes Bitcoin is the ultimate beneficiary.
Also read: 13,000 Institutions Now Back Strategy’s $44.9B Bitcoin Bet
In essence, Hayes sees a perfect storm brewing. As the government pumps money into the system, the scarcity and fixed supply of Bitcoin could cause a supply crunch just as demand begins to spike. For Hayes, this isn’t just market noise—this is a seismic macro trigger that could permanently change the price landscape for BTC.
“Bazooka” Buybacks and Fiat Floodgates
Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, adds fuel to the fire, projecting Bitcoin could climb to $132,000 by the end of 2025. His thesis? The rapidly expanding M2 money supply—essentially all the cash and near-cash assets sloshing around the economy—is creating a wave of inflationary pressure that Bitcoin, with its 21-million coin cap, is uniquely positioned to absorb.
Liquidity is the name of the game. As central banks print and governments spend, Coutts sees Bitcoin soaking up excess capital like a sponge. Hayes’ warning suddenly seems less dramatic and more like a rational alarm bell: if the fiat floodgates stay open, Bitcoin’s sub-$100K era could become a thing of the past.
Dollar Weakness, Gold Correlation, and the Macro Mix
Adding to the bullish mix is the weakening U.S. dollar. The Dollar Index just hit its lowest level since March 2022, a sign that global faith in fiat may be fraying. Historically, a weaker dollar tends to drive capital into hard assets like gold—and increasingly, Bitcoin.
Also read: Robert Kiyosaki Predicts $1 Million Bitcoin by 2035 Amid Inflation Warnings
Daily chart for US Dollar Index (Source: TradingView)
“Looks like Bitcoin is pumping on continued Dollar weakness,” noted Bitwise’s André Dragosch, after BTC jumped past $87,700 for the first time in three weeks.
Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, says the charts are aligning with macro trends. A descending wedge breakout, strong volume, and increasing correlation with gold all suggest Bitcoin is becoming the modern safe haven of choice.
Institutions Are Buying—Are You?
While the retail crowd debates whether it’s too late to jump in, institutional money isn’t hesitating. Japanese and UK-based investment firms are deploying hundreds of millions into Bitcoin positions. Metaplanet, often dubbed “Japan’s MicroStrategy,” just added another $28 million in BTC, bringing its total holdings to over $400 million.
Despite ongoing concerns over trade wars and geopolitical uncertainty, the smart money is stacking sats. The message is loud and clear: they’re preparing for a future where Bitcoin isn’t just a speculative asset—it’s a core part of global financial portfolios.
Also read: Schwab CEO Rick Wurster Confirms Spot Bitcoin Trading Coming in 2026
Final Call Before Liftoff?
Arthur Hayes has always had a flair for dramatic timing, but his latest forecast may go down as one of his most prescient. As Treasury buybacks ramp up and fiat liquidity surges, the conditions for a Bitcoin explosion are rapidly falling into place.
If Arthur Hayes is right, the market may be in the final moments of Bitcoin’s sub-$100K era. For those waiting on the sidelines, the clock is ticking—and the next time you check the chart, six figures might be the new normal.
